Asherah reads the news on large US companies and calls each one up or down against its own sector. Her opponent is a dummy that says up every time.
Ahead of the always-up dummy on every horizon with enough scored calls. That is not proof of an edge: the sample keeps growing, and a lead can close.
Right 50% of the time. The dummy: 42%. The meanest dummy (always-down): 58%.
7 points ahead. 2,086 scored; the sample of 85 is full.
Right 51% of the time. The dummy: 36%. The meanest dummy (always-down): 64%.
14 points ahead. 1,145 scored; the sample of 85 is full.
No call at this span is scored yet.
First full read around 27 November. 0 of 85 scored.
On an up call she gives the dummy’s answer, so up calls cannot move the rope. This measures them: when she says up about a stock, does it do better than that stock usually does?
Updated 3 October 2026, 08:10 UTC.
When Asherah says up, she gives the dummy’s answer, so the two win or lose together. The match is decided only when she says down. If the company then trails its sector, she takes the round. If it beats its sector, the dummy does.
Asherah took the roundThe dummy took it
846 down calls. Asherah took 500. The dummy took 346.
On the other 1,240 calls she said up, the dummy's answer, so the two won or lost together.
469 down calls. Asherah took 317. The dummy took 152.
On the other 676 calls she said up, the dummy's answer, so the two won or lost together.
No call at this span is scored yet, so no round has been played. First full read around 27 November.
Each call was locked and hashed the moment it was made. Its direction stays sealed until it is scored at the close on the day shown - the code on each tag is the seal. When a call is scored, its revealed direction must match the hash it was locked with.
Showing the newest 25 of 3000 open calls. Sealed in public, revealed at scoring: proof the calls came first, without handing anyone a free signal.
Besides the company calls, 8 market families. Each call is sealed before the price it is judged on exists: which way, how far, and how sure. Every call counts, whatever her confidence, and each is scored against three dummies: always up, always down and no change. Those scores stay off this page until there are enough of them to mean something.
She reads the news on large US companies and seals an up-or-down call for the next day, the next week and three months, each against the company’s own sector. Every call is hashed before the market moves and scored at the close. The match counts every company call scored since 24 August.
Which way the 2-year Treasury yield, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year Treasury yield and the gap between the 2- and 10-year yields move over the next day and the next week.
Which way the euro-area 10-year government yield moves over the next day and the next week.
Which way the broad US dollar index moves over the next day and the next week.
Which way the VIX moves over the next day and the next week.
Which way bitcoin and ether move over the next day and the next week.
Which way bitcoin, ether and solana move over the next four hours, weekends included.
Which way WTI crude, US natural gas and Brent crude move over the next day and the next week.
Which way New York gasoline and New York diesel move over the next day and the next week.
Research only, not investment advice. Questions: zach@hivemindai.io